Quantitative Horizon ScanningforMitigating Technological Surprise:
Detecting the potential for collaboration at the interface
"The identification of potential breakthroughs before they happen" is a vague data
analysis problem and "the scientific literature" is a massive, complex dataset. Hence QHS for MTS
might seem to be prototypical of the data miner's lament: "Here's some data we have ... can you
find something interesting?" Nonetheless, the problem is real and important, and we
develop an innovative statistical approach thereto -- not a final etched-in-stone
approach, but perhaps the first complete quantitative methodology explicitly addressing QHS for MTS.
QMDNS 2010 keynote address presentation slides
SA&DM manuscript